She said the support she got from other teams was 'overwhelming. It was replaced by the division of Macnamara which had almost identical boundaries. This is all bad news for Labor because it means the Greens are rapidly catching them, while the Liberals are pulling away from them. This information is provided for illustrative purposes. Labor's state and federal executives did not adopt Danby's position. I find it interesting that the Party and Independents who had stronger positions on tackling climate change gained more seats than Labour, not sure about Dai Le in Fowler, but that was another howler from Labour. Attracting and retaining businesses, while improving our infrastructure to keep up with the growth. And no matter what the result, considering the Greens are currently third on 32.93% and all the remaining votes should favour them, I think its safe to say all 3 candidates will finish between a minimum of 33.1% and a maximum of 33.6% when the 3CP count is complete. You may be trying to access this site from a secured browser on the server. Gallop is a Criminal Justice/Breaking News Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY. Support local journalism. She is a former planning and environmental lawyer, and has also worked as an advisor to the Australian Mission to the United Nations and as a volunteer lawyer at Environmental Justice Australia. Newspoll-You Gov actually picked up a bounce for the Greens over the last six days before E-Day, and that helps explain why late arriving postals in Macnamara appear to be breaking more to Green than Labour. I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount.. If anything, I would be extremely worried if I was Josh Burns. The Greens are also targetting this seat with the goal of overtaking Labor and winning. https://www.tallyroom.com.au/vic2022/albertpark2022/comment-page-1#comment-776581. And silver medals can be distr oh wait. I was thinking Mcnamara was a certain Labor retain at least on Election night but at this stage I think Greens would be favourites to win Mcnamara. Question now is what becomes of the boundaries at the next election. Candidate Johnson said he planned on focusing on the citys continued upward trending growth. Further, I will continueto support the creation of a West Melbourne Fire Department. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Adam Bandt Greens Leader retains safe seat. It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40km2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay. Neighborhoods with flooding issues are already planned during 2023-24 budget year. It might be close but hard to see. William Bowe actually says he thinks its trending Greens. At least the boundary change adding more Greens territory would significantly decrease the ALP v GRN margin. The Greens topped the primary vote in St Kilda, with the Liberal Party a distant third. Fiscal responsibility: Ensure the citys strong finances by providing budgetary oversight and being fiscally conservative with taxpayer funds, especially with the recent rising costs. In 3CP terms, it means Dec Prepolls are breaking 33.1% LIB, 30.6% ALP, 36.3% GRN. GRN 28,657. "It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner., Occupation: Small-business owner and nonprofit executive director, Education: Doctorate of public administration (in-progress); master's in educational leadership; bachelor's in elementary education. Additionally, I made a promise to focus on jobs. Heres a summary of the current state of play. William Bowe explains in his latest blog (from after yesterdays counting finished) that his results system is incorrectly calling it due to its inability to think in three-party terms. A redistribution will see Josh ousted in 2025, but if they fight too hard to preserve the current borders then they might just end up losing both Macnamara *and* Higgins. Basically around 0.4% (less than 400 votes) between first and third. Authorised by the Electoral Commissioner, Canberra, Register of political parties and decisions, Torres Strait Regional Authority elections, A4 map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 785KB], Map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 13.4MB], 2016 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2013 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2010 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2007 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2004 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status. 1966 was the last time the Liberal PV was below 30% in Melbourne Ports / Macnamara. ALP 29,152 3. First, the trend occurred first in Melbourne before it was followed in Batman, Wills, Melbourne Ports and Higgins. Deakin is also Liberal, the trends are helping Sukkar there on postals. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. The city of more than 28,000 residents has a $50 million budget, and is set to complete its own water plant in December 2026. She taught in a variety of schools, both primary and secondary, and worked as an education consultant both here and in Japan. Third Issue:Supporting our first responders. LIB 30,636 2. Six candidates are vying for three seats on the Melbourne City Council on the Nov. 8 ballot, with hopes of helping guide governmental operations of one of the Space Coast's dominant economic communities. Originally, it was anchored in the industrial suburbs in the west of the electorate, which are part of Labor's heartland in west Melbourne. Should the Greens get up here, I can see all Labor arguments for keeping the Caulfield tail mysteriously evaporate before the 2024 redistribution. But Im tipping Burns to hold in a Labor v Greens count. City Council members also could soon discuss the feasibility of building their own city-run fire department. I thought this was Labours until I read ABCs Anthony Greens column in which he said he was going to call it for Labour, until the Labour candidate for Macnamara phoned him and said the Greens could still win it. Trent had already calculated the breakdown of the primary vote for Albert Park based on the May federal results. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. Tree lined, nature strips, large houses, large schools, etc. The logical approach to me at face value would be to consolidate the 4 Labor seats of Chisholm, Hotham, Isaacs and Bruce into 3, but Im sure they wont want to do that. Labor 33.48% (31,149) 3. The 2020 City of Melbourne Council elections. Political/government/civic experience: West Melbourne city councilwoman since November 2009 and current deputy mayor, Chairman of the Space Coast Transportation Planning Organization since 2019, Member and current vice chair, Brevard County Tourist Development Council since 2018, 2021 president of the Space Coast League of Cities, Board member of the Metropolitan Planning Organization and board member of theMetropolitan Planning Organization Advisory Council, Board member of the Florida League of Cities Land Use and Economic Development, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: I dont have a specific Facebook page for my campaign. 100% agree. Previous Meet the Candidates events include: The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed $242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. Steph Hodgins-May did so much better than I expected. But damn Id be nervous if I was them with the way each batch of votes has been breaking. Occupation:Environmental health physicist, Education: Bachelor of Science in physics, University of Central Florida, Master of Science in health physics, Georgia Tech, Political/government/civic experience:U.S. Navy, enlisted, 1980-1990; U.S. Department of Energy Nuclear Engineering and Health Physics Fellow (1991-1995); associate professor and chair, Department of Health Physics, University of Nevada, Las Vegas (1995-2004); U.S. Air Force scientist, 2004-2022; president of church congregational council (2017-2021); member of West Melbourne Board of Adjustments (2019-2022), member of School Advisory Committees (Suntree Elementary, 2006-2009; Longleaf Elementary, 2010-2012; West Melbourne School for Science, 2013-2015). Adams also points to the importance of focusing on the towns infrastructure needs. He served as Deputy Prime Minister for the last four months of the Whitlam government, and retired in 1977. When this site was originally published, the post-redistribution margin for Macnamara was listed as 6.1%. Twitter: @JDGallop. If all the remaining votes, using Kevin Bonhams expectation of 1750 postal votes, break exactly as they currently are, I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount. The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. Cruise ship schedule 2022-23. Xem trc tuyn Green Gully Cavaliers U21 vs Port Melbourne Sharks SC U21 AUS VPL U21 11:00 11/03/2022 . Flooding concerns: With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Seeking affordable housing site: Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought. As in 2019 the Green candidate will be Steph Hodgins-May, the new Liberal candidate Christopher Ride. Regional Victorian ports - follow this link. Melbourne Ports was held by the Australian Labor Party from 1906 until 2019, when it was renamed. With more than 85,000 residents, Melbourne is Brevard County's second-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay. Cruise seasons usually run from spring to autumn and Station Pier is closed to the public when cruise ships are berthed. (See the graph below for first preference votes in Melbourne Ports/Macnamara since 1984.) Melbourne Ports has become more middle class in recent years with accelerating inner-city gentrification and higher density housing developments. Agents must notify Ports Victoria of any changes to this schedule. In 2016, Labor actually suffered a primary vote swing of four percent and a two-party swing of two percent even as it nearly reduced the Coalition to minority government nationally. ), Time listed is at Fawkner Beacon- Time between the Heads and Fawkner Beacon - 3 hours- Time between Fawkner Beacon and berth - 1 hour, Time listed is at Point Richards- Time between the Heads and Point Richards - 3 hours- Time between Point Richards and berth - 2 hours, 2016 Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne). 0:36. Antony Green just called the seat for Labor. Second, other electorates saw a drop in Green support and rise for Labor at the 2019 election where Green support rose further in Melbourne. Crean served as Treasurer for the first two years of the Whitlam government, but was pushed aside in late 1974 in the midst of difficult economic times, and moved to the Trade portfolio. Danby, MP for Melbourne Ports since 1998, . The video of the event is the third of the three videos below. But, because the margins are so slim, what favours Labor is that it wont take much of a change to how votes are breaking (either Libs or Greens start doing worse) for them to stay in the top two and win. After attending Mount Scopus College, Josh graduated from Monash University with a Bachelor of Arts, majoring in Political Studies. Hickey is a qualified primary school teacher, social worker, and family therapist. The other three members of the City Council Mayor Hal Rose, and Councilors Pat Bentley, Daniel McDow and Stephen Phrampus have terms that run until 2024. Numerous annual continuing-education classes on ethics and city planning classes. Had the 2013 election's 66% flow of Liberal preferences to Labor occurred in 2010, then Adam Bandt would not have won Melbourne. Supporting the mayor's momentum of accountability by voting with the mayor for regular financial audits of city finances. Contents 1 Members 2 Election results 2.1 Elections in the 2010s 2.2 Elections in the 2000s If reelected, I will continue to work closely with our partners to build upon the successes of the past fouryears. Daniel, Poll Bludger hasnt called the seat. So it will be interesting to see what constructions they try to come up with. Therefore, just say Libs are averaging 26% and Labor 29% on new batches, after minor preferences (others are currently averaging around 12%) they are basically getting around 30.5% each on 3PP terms, which means the Liberals lead isnt going away. He retired at the 1951 election and was succeeded by state MP Frank Crean. It is named in honour of Dame Annie Jean Macnamara DBE, 1899-1968. Votante, re: Labor possibly having a record difference between their primary vote and 2PP vote, I think that ties into another likely record that this race will set, and thats the smallest margin between all 3 parties in a 3CP count. Mathews held Melbourne Ports for a quarter of a century, retiring in 1931. My prediction here is that the Greens will probably fall *just* short of knocking Labor out of second place, because just too much has to go right for them with such a small margin of error for it to happen. At first glance that looks like Labor would outperform the Liberals right? Continue work on West Melbourne flooding issues. Green was also very careful about Brisbane, which shows just how close some of these races have been. Former Labor members include Bill Maloney 1904-1940, Arthur Calwell 1940-1972, Ted Innes 1972-1983, Gerry Hand 1983-1993 and Lindsay Tanner 1993-2010. Crean was replaced by Clyde Holding, who had served as Leader of the Victorian Labor Party from 1967 until 1976. Just to clarify Daniel, Liberals currently lead Labor by 50 votes on the 3CP, but the rstes at which new votes are breaking, after the Libs outpace Labor 3:1 on minor preferences, is actually adding to that lead, not reducing it. It includes vmost of the City of Melbourne north of the Yarra, almost all of the City of Yarra, and a small slice of Moreland Council. After originally being won by the Protectionist party, it has been held by the ALP consistently since 1906, although it has rarely been held by large margins. Globally the pollsters, in 2022, have been consistently overestimating social democratic support and underestimating Green support. You may be trying to access this site from a secured browser on the server. I compared it to the Macnamara electorate results in May not the 2018 state results where a Greens ran. [ edit] Primary vote results in Melbourne (Parties that did not get 5% of the vote are omitted) Liberal Labor Australian Democrats Greens Reason Two-candidate-preferred results in Melbourne References [ edit] To mitigate flooding and traffic issues, upgrades of stormwater and transportation infrastructure in our older neighborhoods must be a city priority. The city of more than 28,000. In Macnamara, the Liberal vote is consistently around 40%, and a Green victory hinges on the Greens passing Labor on first preferences, and then strong flows of Labor preferences putting the Green candidate ahead of the Liberal in the final count. Harkin moved into IT, in business development and project management and then started her own small business developing bespoke databases and digital widgets. Dec Prepolls are a similar situation. (Melbourne local time. 2018 Mayoral Election: A Meet the Candidates was held at Boyd Community Hub on Thursday, 26th April, 2018. Diana Adams appointed to West Melbourne City Council, replacing Daniel Batcheldor, West Melbourne names eight finalists to replace retired police chief Richard Wiley, West Melbourne may hire Tim Rhode as city manager; Daniel Batcheldor to leave City Council, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Education: University of Akron/Chancellor University, Political/government/civic experience: 30 years of public service, including four years with the City Council in West Melbourne. The Green margin versus the Liberal Party rises from 21.8% to 22.6%.There were Green two-candidate preferred majorities in all 32 polling places in 2019, its vote rising above 70% in 22 and 80% in 13. I can see the Greens overtaking Labor. After the exclusion of several minor party candidates with 7.3% between them, the three-candidate count had become Liberal 43.7%, Labor 28.7% to Greens 27.6%. Libs to get Higgins back and Greens to make Macnamara notionally Green. This change slightly reduced the Labor margin from 6.2% to 6.1%. Thoughts on who wouldve won this seat based on the state election figures? . Holloway had won a shock victory over Prime Minister Stanley Bruce in the seat of Flinders in 1929, before moving to the much-safer Melbourne Ports in 1931. (Click on polling place for results)Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities in 27 of the 30 polling places used in 2019, its vote passing 70% in eight. The 4PP results were: 1. On paper the final boundaries have minimal impact on Labor's margin, nudging it down a percentage from 6.2% to 4.9%. This is a list of electoral results for the Division of Melbourne Ports in Australian federal elections from the division's creation in 1901 until its abolition in 2019. The last batch of postal votes broke 26.7% LIB, 28.5% ALP, 33.2% GRN, 11.6% Other. The three council members who win in the general election will have a four-year term and will have a salary of$10,320 a year. The current 3CP order after about 87,000 votes is 1 Libs, 2 Labor, 3 Greens. The four candidates are incumbents Diana Adams, John Dittmore and Andrea Young, along U.S. Navy veteranWilliam Johnson, who sits on the citys Board of Adjustments. Loses Windsor to neighbouring Higgins. I will continue to support the implementationof the city's own water plant and will support measures to reducethe risk of flooding in our community. You have entered an incorrect email address! This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. 2016 Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne). It is Brevard County's fourth-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay, Melbourne and Titusville. Elected Councillors were sworn in at a Special Council Meeting held on 11 November 2020. No way Labor comes 3rd. Demographics (2019 boundaries): Median weekly household income: $1,866 (Australia $1,438) People over 65: 12.2% (Australia 15.8%) Australian born: 54.5% (Australia 66.7%) Ancestry: Chinese 5.6% The top two issues in the community I represent are affordable housing and homeless social issues. What they care about is what matters to me. Also disagree with you Dan M. It is completely misleading to analyse the Labor Albert Park Margin and Caulfield Margin considering that Balaclava, St Kilda and other areas are in the Caulfield electorate (fairly progressive electorates). As a scientist, I will bring critical thinking to our decision-making. Here is a rundown of the candidates, based on answers to questionnaires from FLORIDA TODAY. Immediately below is the video of the event. And all it will take is slightly weaker flows for them, particularly from the postal votes, or just less postal votes being returned, for Labor to stay ahead of them. But Labor will win majority government, Labor will hold this. Mathews was succeeded in 1931 by Jack Holloway. This made Adam Bandt the first Green to win a seat in the House of Representatives at a general election. Outreach and communication: Create channels of communication with residents and local businesses to understand and address concerns, engage residents in civic opportunities, and work together to proactively plan for our citys future. The red line in the chart below highlights how strong Labor's two-party preferred vote is in Melbourne compared to Victoria as a whole, consistently 15-20% higher. Either way this might be the last seat to be called because it wont even be mnown who the two-party count is between until a full distribution of preferences, and all 3 combinations are possible. Melbourne Ports was won in 1906 by Labor candidates James Mathews. Labor's vote fell further in 2016, finishing third behind the Liberal candidate, and stayed in third place at the 2019 election after Labor disendorsed its candidate mid-campaign. It sounds as if Josh Burns doesnt want to win. The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. Macnamara was a medical researcher and doctor who discovered there was more than one type of the polio virus and worked extensively with children suffering from poliomyelitis, training doctors and physiotherapists in the management of the disease. So it will be interesting to see what constructions they try to come up with U21 11:00 11/03/2022 videos! Harkin moved into it, in business development and project management and then her! Says he thinks its trending Greens up here, I made a promise focus! Was below 30 % in Melbourne before it was replaced by Clyde Holding, who served. 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